Harare, (New Ziana)- Zimbabwe is expected to receive average to above-average rainfall for the start of the October 2025 to March 2026 rainy season, driven by a forecast weak La Niña, the Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWS NET) has predicted.
The rainfall is expected to replenish surface and underground water sources, support cropped areas, and foster normal to above-normal crop development, a welcome development after several consecutive years of erratic rainfall and dry spells that severely impacted food production and water availability.
FEWS NET said the increased rainfall is also expected to improve livestock conditions, particularly in semi-arid areas in the south, east, west, and far north. “An anticipated weak La Niña will likely drive average to above average rainfall in Zimbabwe for the start of the October 2025 to March 2026 rainy season.
This will likely replenish surface and underground water resources, support cropped areas and favorable crop development at normal to above-normal levels, and enhance agricultural labor activities,” it said, adding the forecast however comes with notable risks.
“Due to already above-average rainfall in the 2024/25 season and the continued trend into early 2026, flood-prone areas of the country face an elevated risk of water logging and flooding. Seasonal forecasts also indicate an average to above-average likelihood of tropical cyclones affecting the Southern Africa region, with eastern Zimbabwe particularly vulnerable,” it said.
FEWSNET also said above-normal temperatures expected between September and January could have mixed effects. “While warmer conditions may benefit crop growth in the absence of prolonged dry spells, they also pose risks such as heat and water stress on crops and livestock, reduced effectiveness of fertilizers and weeding operations, and the potential for violent thunderstorms.
“Authorities and humanitarian partners are being urged to prepare for both the opportunities and challenges that the 2025/26 season may bring,” it said.
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